Andrew Kirby on the ‘Year that Was’

TSAM’s (Toyota South Africa Motors) President and CEO sketches his view on the state of the motor industry.

Citing monetary and structural challenges such as an elevated repo rate (8,5% in 2023), depreciating Rand (13% down on the dollar last year), a record-breaking 332 days with load shedding, and up to a five-week backlog at the country’s ports, Kirby made clear that this negatively impacted GDP and therefore concomitantly business confidence as well.

“This was reflected in the automotive sales for the year – the first quarter started off really positively and the industry was on track to achieve the 570 000 prediction made by Toyota at last year’s SOMI (State of the Motor Industry). However, sales started to stagnate, especially after the second half of the year and this means that the final tally for the year was 532 098 – just 0,5% up on 22’s numbers.”

Andrew Kirby

“Nevertheless, there are still some positives – South Africa is seen as a very competitive car market as evidenced by the number of new entrants that entered the market last year. There were two all-new passenger brands, three in LCV and two in commercial that established themselves in SA in this period. Even more compelling was the number of new individual models that were added – the big increases coming in the most popular segments namely B and Sub-B which saw an additional 12 new variants (an indicator of the appetite for vehicles at the affordable end of the market), five in Double Cab and a staggering 29 in the Extra Heavy Commercial Vehicle space. The latter is directly attributable to the logistical issues facing South Africa, particularly in rail transport.”

The other interesting content shared by Kirby related to the source countries for imported models. Not surprisingly the big winners here are India and China, with India accounting for 42% of all the passenger cars sold in this country. This is up from 28% in 2022. China has also experienced a big growth spurt – going from a 3% share of the imported market to 9%. There has also been a corresponding rise in the number of models from these countries – India going from 34 models to 44 and China upping its model quota from 10 to 15.

In line with global trends, South Africa experienced heightened demand for New Energy Vehicles with a 65% volume increase in 2023, but this is off a relatively small base – total number of NEVs sold totalled 7 693. As expected, by far the biggest volume contributors coming from hybrid variants (84%).